1st Cir.

UNITED STATES v. ONIC MALDONADO-VELAZQUEZ

January 16, 2026 ·24-1746 ·Panel Decision ·Dunlap · By James Taylor

The First Circuit affirmed a ninety-six-month sentence for possessing machine guns and being a felon in possession of firearms, rejecting the defendant's claim that the district court failed to adequately explain an upward variance. The court held that the district court provided a plausible rationale based on the severity of the offenses, the defendant's criminal history, and the specific circumstances of the arrest.

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Onic Maldonado-Valdez appealed his ninety-six-month sentence for possessing machine guns and being a felon in possession of firearms. The underlying incident occurred in September 2022 when police responded to a tip that Maldonado was armed on the roof of a public housing building. Upon their arrival, Maldonado jumped from the roof and was found injured on the ground. He admitted to having three firearms on the roof, and officers recovered two modified Glock machine guns, a tactical rifle, a micro-conversion kit, and 279 rounds of ammunition. At the time of the arrest, Maldonado was serving a term of supervised release for a prior firearm-possession conviction. The district court calculated a sentencing guidelines range of sixty-three to seventy-eight months but imposed a ninety-six-month sentence, an eighteen-month upward variance. The court cited the dangerous nature of the weapons, the large amount of ammunition, Maldonado's criminal history, and the fact that he was actively surveilling the rooftop with the weapons. Maldonado argued the sentence was unreasonable because the court failed to adequately explain the variance, did not properly weigh mitigating factors regarding his mental health, and that the government breached the plea agreement by defending the sentence on appeal.

The First Circuit applied a bifurcated review process, first assessing procedural reasonableness and then substantive reasonableness. On procedural reasonableness, the court noted that while the inherent danger of machine guns alone cannot justify an upward variance, the district court properly relied on a combination of case-specific factors. These included the possession of 279 rounds of ammunition and ten magazines (seven high-capacity), which the guidelines do not adequately account for; the commission of the offense while on supervised release for a prior firearm conviction; and the active surveillance of a public housing rooftop. The court found these factors sufficiently distinguished the case from the 'heartland' of typical firearm offenses. Regarding substantive reasonableness, the court emphasized that it must determine whether the sentence falls within a broad universe of reasonable outcomes and whether the district court articulated a plausible rationale. The district court's explanation that the sentence was necessary to promote respect for the law, protect the public, and address deterrence was deemed defensible. The court also addressed Maldonado's claim that the district court failed to weigh mitigating factors. It held that sentencing courts have discretion in weighing factors and that the district court did conduct an individualized assessment, considering Maldonado's mental health history and improvements made while in custody, but reasonably determined that the aggravating factors outweighed them. Finally, the court rejected the plea agreement breach claim, interpreting the agreement as limiting only the parties' sentencing recommendations, not their ability to defend or appeal the resulting sentence.

The decision reinforces the First Circuit's precedent that sentencing courts may impose upward variances based on the quantity of ammunition and high-capacity magazines, even when the guidelines do not explicitly account for them. It clarifies that the government's defense of an upward variance on appeal does not constitute a breach of a plea agreement that limits sentencing recommendations. The case is remanded to the district court for enforcement of the affirmed sentence, with no further procedural steps required unless the government seeks additional relief.

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